Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.067097 0.079539 0.093492 0.110276 0.129898 0.152089 0.179068
2025-04-06 0.046635 0.062206 0.081663 0.107673 0.141430 0.183654 0.240360
2025-04-13 0.034483 0.050503 0.072303 0.103942 0.148459 0.208600 0.295697
2025-04-20 0.028219 0.044658 0.068655 0.105909 0.161877 0.242327 0.366088
2025-04-27 0.023474 0.039765 0.065056 0.106686 0.172872 0.273212 0.435737
2025-05-04 0.019848 0.035760 0.061868 0.107158 0.182889 0.303242 0.507246
2025-05-11 0.017211 0.032809 0.059731 0.108710 0.194430 0.336556 0.587467
2025-05-18 0.015433 0.030988 0.059107 0.112540 0.210002 0.377910 0.685396
2025-05-25 0.012957 0.027393 0.054713 0.108898 0.211827 0.395912 0.745256
2025-06-01 0.011349 0.025172 0.052465 0.108783 0.219827 0.425342 0.828248
2025-06-08 0.009855 0.022898 0.049734 0.107259 0.224815 0.449625 0.904232
2025-06-15 0.008998 0.021823 0.049224 0.110046 0.238464 0.491461 1.017643
2025-06-22 0.007897 0.020032 0.047000 0.109074 0.244643 0.520064 1.109693
2025-06-29 0.006823 0.018105 0.044185 0.106421 0.246982 0.541346 1.189757
2025-07-06 0.005842 0.016207 0.041118 0.102716 0.246488 0.556647 1.259097
2025-07-13 0.005341 0.015430 0.040542 0.104658 0.258785 0.600223 1.392915
2025-07-20 0.004836 0.014539 0.039543 0.105425 0.268449 0.639085 1.520615
2025-07-27 0.004376 0.013682 0.038490 0.105892 0.277432 0.677353 1.651018
2025-08-03 0.004017 0.013043 0.037894 0.107427 0.289187 0.723170 1.803409
2025-08-10 0.003787 0.012738 0.038147 0.111213 0.307037 0.785086 1.999702
2025-08-17 0.003302 0.011555 0.035786 0.107613 0.305489 0.800495 2.086897
2025-08-24 0.002997 0.010876 0.034743 0.107499 0.313073 0.838981 2.234191
2025-08-31 0.002682 0.010100 0.033288 0.105992 0.316698 0.867939 2.360791